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Diposkan oleh REANK ZAINUDDIN KHAFIDL di 12:08 AMWhat is FOREX (Foreign Exchange)?
Forex (Foreign Exchange) simply means the buying of one currency and selling another at the same time. In other words, the currency of one country is exchanged for those of another. The currencies of the world are on a floating exchange rate, and are always traded in pairs Euro/Dollar, Dollar/Yen, etc. In excess of 85 percent of all daily transactions involve trading of the major currencies.
Four major currency pairs are usually used for investment purposes. They are: Euro against US dollar, US dollar against Japanese yen, British pound against US dollar, and US dollar against Swiss franc. The following notation is used for these currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF. You may consider them as "blue chips" of the FOREX market. No dividends are paid on currencies. The investment profits come from well known "buy low - sell high".
If you think one currency will appreciate against another, you may exchange that second currency for the first one and stay in it. In case everything goes as planned, some time later you may make the opposite deal - exchange this first currency back for that other - and collect profits.
Transactions on the FOREX market are fulfilled by dealers at major banks or FOREX brokerage companies. FOREX is the world wide market, so when you are sleeping in the North America some dealers in Europe are trading currencies with their Japanese counterparties. Therefore the FOREX market is active 24 hours a day and dealers at major institutions are working in three shifts. Clients may place take-profit and stop-loss orders with brokers for overnight execution.
Price movements on the FOREX market are very smooth and without gaps that you face almost every morning on the stock market. The daily turnover on the FOREX market is about $1.2 trillion, so investor can enter and exit position without problems. The fact is that the FOREX market never stops, even on the day of September-11, 2001 you could obtain two-side quotes on currencies.
The currency foreign exchange (http://www.123forex.blogspot.com) market is the largest and oldest financial market in the world. It is also called the foreign exchange market, or "FOREX" or "FX" market for short. It is the biggest and most liquid market in the world, and it is traded mainly through the 24 hour-a-day inter-bank currency market - the primary market for currencies. The forex market is a cash (or "spot") inter-bank market. By comparison, the currency futures market is only one per cent as big.
Unlike the futures and stock markets, trading of currencies is not centralized on an exchange. Forex literally follows the sun around the world. Trading moves from major banking centers of the U.S. to Australia and New Zealand, to the Far East, to Europe and finally back to the U.S.
In the past, the forex inter-bank market was not available to small speculators due to the large minimum transaction sizes and often-stringent financial requirements. Banks, major currency dealers and the occasional huge speculator used to be the principal dealers. Only they were able to take advantage of the currency market's fantastic liquidity and strong trending nature of many of the world's primary currency exchange rates.
Today, foreign exchange market maker brokers such as FX Solutions are able to break down the larger sized inter-bank units, and offer small traders the opportunity to buy or sell any number of these smaller units (lots).
These brokers give virtually any size trader, including individual speculators or smaller companies, the option to trade the same rates and price movements as the large players who once dominated the market. Market makers quote buying and selling rates for currencies, and they profit on the difference between their buying and selling rates
Why Trading FOREX?
The cash/spot FOREX markets possess certain unique attributes that offer unmatched potential for profitable trading in any market condition or any stage of the business cycle:
A 24-hour market: A trader may take advantage of all profitable market conditions at any time; no waiting for the 'opening bell'.
Highest liquidity: The FOREX market with an average trading volume of over $1.5 trillion per day is the most liquid market in the world. That means that a trader can enter or exit the market at will in almost any market condition minimal execution barriers or risk and no daily trading limit.
High leverage: A leverage ratio of up to 400 is typical compared to a leverage ratio of 2 (50% margin requirement) in equity markets. Of course, this makes trading in the cash/spot forex market a double-edged sword the high leverage makes the risk of the down side loss much greater in the same way that it makes the profit potential on the upside much more attractive.
Low transaction cost: The retail transaction cost (the bid/ask spread) is typically less than 0.1% (10 pips or points) under normal market conditions. At larger dealers, the spread could be less than 5 pips, and may widen considerably in fast moving markets.
Always a bull market: A trade in the FOREX market involves selling or buying one currency against another. Thus, a bull market or a bear market for a currency is defined in terms of the outlook for its relative value against other currencies. If the outlook is positive, we have a bull market in which a trader profits by buying the currency against other currencies. Conversely, if the outlook is pessimistic, we have a bull market for other currencies and a trader profits by selling the currency against other currencies. In either case, there is always a bull market trading opportunity for a trader.
Inter-bank market: The backbone of the FOREX market consists of a global network of dealers (mainly major commercial banks) that communicate and trade with one another and with their clients through electronic networks and telephones. There are no organized exchanges to serve as a central location to facilitate transactions the way the New York Stock Exchange serves the equity markets. The FOREX market operates in a manner similar to the way the NASDAQ market in the United States operates, and thus it is also referred to as an 'over the counter' or OTC market.
No one can corner the market: The FOREX market is so vast and has so many participants that no single entity, even a central bank, can control the market price for an extended period of time. Even interventions by mighty central banks are becoming increasingly ineffectual and short-lived, and thus central banks are becoming less and less inclined to intervene to manipulate market prices.
Unregulated: The FOREX market is generally regarded as an unregulated market although the operations of major dealers, such as commercial banks in money centers, are regulated under the banking laws. The conduct and operation of retail FOREX brokerages are not regulated under any laws or regulations specific to the FOREX market, and in fact many of such establishments in the United States do not even report to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). The currency futures and options that are traded on exchanges such as Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) are regulated in the way other exchange-traded derivatives are regulated.
For more information about forex, visit Learn Forex Trading [http://www.123forex.blogspot.com]
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The forex options market started as an over-the-counter (OTC) financial vehicle for large banks, financial institutions and large international corporations to hedge against foreign currency exposure. Like the forex spot market, the forex options market is considered an "interbank" market. However, with the plethora of real-time financial data and forex option trading software available to most investors through the internet, today's forex option market now includes an increasingly large number of individuals and corporations who are speculating and/or hedging foreign currency exposure via telephone or online forex trading platforms.
Forex option trading has emerged as an alternative investment vehicle for many traders and investors. As an investment tool, forex option trading provides both large and small investors with greater flexibility when determining the appropriate forex trading and hedging strategies to implement.
Most forex options trading is conducted via telephone as there are only a few forex brokers offering online forex option trading platforms.
Forex Option Defined - A forex option is a financial currency contract giving the forex option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase or sell a specific forex spot contract (the underlying) at a specific price (the strike price) on or before a specific date (the expiration date). The amount the forex option buyer pays to the forex option seller for the forex option contract rights is called the forex option "premium."
The Forex Option Buyer - The buyer, or holder, of a foreign currency option has the choice to either sell the foreign currency option contract prior to expiration, or he or she can choose to hold the foreign currency options contract until expiration and exercise his or her right to take a position in the underlying spot foreign currency. The act of exercising the foreign currency option and taking the subsequent underlying position in the foreign currency spot market is known as "assignment" or being "assigned" a spot position.
The only initial financial obligation of the foreign currency option buyer is to pay the premium to the seller up front when the foreign currency option is initially purchased. Once the premium is paid, the foreign currency option holder has no other financial obligation (no margin is required) until the foreign currency option is either offset or expires.
On the expiration date, the call buyer can exercise his or her right to buy the underlying foreign currency spot position at the foreign currency option's strike price, and a put holder can exercise his or her right to sell the underlying foreign currency spot position at the foreign currency option's strike price. Most foreign currency options are not exercised by the buyer, but instead are offset in the market before expiration.
Foreign currency options expires worthless if, at the time the foreign currency option expires, the strike price is "out-of-the-money." In simplest terms, a foreign currency option is "out-of-the-money" if the underlying foreign currency spot price is lower than a foreign currency call option's strike price, or the underlying foreign currency spot price is higher than a put option's strike price. Once a foreign currency option has expired worthless, the foreign currency option contract itself expires and neither the buyer nor the seller have any further obligation to the other party.
The Forex Option Seller - The foreign currency option seller may also be called the "writer" or "grantor" of a foreign currency option contract. The seller of a foreign currency option is contractually obligated to take the opposite underlying foreign currency spot position if the buyer exercises his right. In return for the premium paid by the buyer, the seller assumes the risk of taking a possible adverse position at a later point in time in the foreign currency spot market.
Initially, the foreign currency option seller collects the premium paid by the foreign currency option buyer (the buyer's funds will immediately be transferred into the seller's foreign currency trading account). The foreign currency option seller must have the funds in his or her account to cover the initial margin requirement. If the markets move in a favorable direction for the seller, the seller will not have to post any more funds for his foreign currency options other than the initial margin requirement. However, if the markets move in an unfavorable direction for the foreign currency options seller, the seller may have to post additional funds to his or her foreign currency trading account to keep the balance in the foreign currency trading account above the maintenance margin requirement.
Just like the buyer, the foreign currency option seller has the choice to either offset (buy back) the foreign currency option contract in the options market prior to expiration, or the seller can choose to hold the foreign currency option contract until expiration. If the foreign currency options seller holds the contract until expiration, one of two scenarios will occur: (1) the seller will take the opposite underlying foreign currency spot position if the buyer exercises the option or (2) the seller will simply let the foreign currency option expire worthless (keeping the entire premium) if the strike price is out-of-the-money.
Please note that "puts" and "calls" are separate foreign currency options contracts and are NOT the opposite side of the same transaction. For every put buyer there is a put seller, and for every call buyer there is a call seller. The foreign currency options buyer pays a premium to the foreign currency options seller in every option transaction.
Forex Call Option - A foreign exchange call option gives the foreign exchange options buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase a specific foreign exchange spot contract (the underlying) at a specific price (the strike price) on or before a specific date (the expiration date). The amount the foreign exchange option buyer pays to the foreign exchange option seller for the foreign exchange option contract rights is called the option "premium."
Please note that "puts" and "calls" are separate foreign exchange options contracts and are NOT the opposite side of the same transaction. For every foreign exchange put buyer there is a foreign exchange put seller, and for every foreign exchange call buyer there is a foreign exchange call seller. The foreign exchange options buyer pays a premium to the foreign exchange options seller in every option transaction.
The Forex Put Option - A foreign exchange put option gives the foreign exchange options buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell a specific foreign exchange spot contract (the underlying) at a specific price (the strike price) on or before a specific date (the expiration date). The amount the foreign exchange option buyer pays to the foreign exchange option seller for the foreign exchange option contract rights is called the option "premium."
Please note that "puts" and "calls" are separate foreign exchange options contracts and are NOT the opposite side of the same transaction. For every foreign exchange put buyer there is a foreign exchange put seller, and for every foreign exchange call buyer there is a foreign exchange call seller. The foreign exchange options buyer pays a premium to the foreign exchange options seller in every option transaction.
Plain Vanilla Forex Options - Plain vanilla options generally refer to standard put and call option contracts traded through an exchange (however, in the case of forex option trading, plain vanilla options would refer to the standard, generic forex option contracts that are traded through an over-the-counter (OTC) forex options dealer or clearinghouse). In simplest terms, vanilla forex options would be defined as the buying or selling of a standard forex call option contract or a forex put option contract.
Exotic Forex Options - To understand what makes an exotic forex option "exotic," you must first understand what makes a forex option "non-vanilla." Plain vanilla forex options have a definitive expiration structure, payout structure and payout amount. Exotic forex option contracts may have a change in one or all of the above features of a vanilla forex option. It is important to note that exotic options, since they are often tailored to a specific's investor's needs by an exotic forex options broker, are generally not very liquid, if at all.
Intrinsic & Extrinsic Value - The price of an FX option is calculated into two separate parts, the intrinsic value and the extrinsic (time) value.
The intrinsic value of an FX option is defined as the difference between the strike price and the underlying FX spot contract rate (American Style Options) or the FX forward rate (European Style Options). The intrinsic value represents the actual value of the FX option if exercised. Please note that the intrinsic value must be zero (0) or above - if an FX option has no intrinsic value, then the FX option is simply referred to as having no (or zero) intrinsic value (the intrinsic value is never represented as a negative number). An FX option with no intrinsic value is considered "out-of-the-money," an FX option having intrinsic value is considered "in-the-money," and an FX option with a strike price at, or very close to, the underlying FX spot rate is considered "at-the-money."
The extrinsic value of an FX option is commonly referred to as the "time" value and is defined as the value of an FX option beyond the intrinsic value. A number of factors contribute to the calculation of the extrinsic value including, but not limited to, the volatility of the two spot currencies involved, the time left until expiration, the riskless interest rate of both currencies, the spot price of both currencies and the strike price of the FX option. It is important to note that the extrinsic value of FX options erodes as its expiration nears. An FX option with 60 days left to expiration will be worth more than the same FX option that has only 30 days left to expiration. Because there is more time for the underlying FX spot price to possibly move in a favorable direction, FX options sellers demand (and FX options buyers are willing to pay) a larger premium for the extra amount of time.
Volatility - Volatility is considered the most important factor when pricing forex options and it measures movements in the price of the underlying. High volatility increases the probability that the forex option could expire in-the-money and increases the risk to the forex option seller who, in turn, can demand a larger premium. An increase in volatility causes an increase in the price of both call and put options.
Delta - The delta of a forex option is defined as the change in price of a forex option relative to a change in the underlying forex spot rate. A change in a forex option's delta can be influenced by a change in the underlying forex spot rate, a change in volatility, a change in the riskless interest rate of the underlying spot currencies or simply by the passage of time (nearing of the expiration date).
The delta must always be calculated in a range of zero to one (0-1.0). Generally, the delta of a deep out-of-the-money forex option will be closer to zero, the delta of an at-the-money forex option will be near .5 (the probability of exercise is near 50%) and the delta of deep in-the-money forex options will be closer to 1.0. In simplest terms, the closer a forex option's strike price is relative to the underlying spot forex rate, the higher the delta because it is more sensitive to a change in the underlying rate.
EUR GBP SIGNALS TODAY STATUS | ||
Today Range | : 18 pips | |
Yesterday Range | : 83 pips | |
Average Range | : 105 pips | |
BUY @0.8982 SL @0.8942 TP @0.9047 SELL @0.8942 SL @0.8982 TP @0.8927 | ||
EUR GBP SIGNALS TODAY STATUS | ||
Today Range | : 27 pips | |
Yesterday Range | : 117 pips | |
Average Range | : 114 pips | |
BUY @0.9003 SL @0.8961 TP @0.9070 SELL @0.8961 SL @0.9003 TP @0.8944 | ||
Dolla dolla bill yo! The USD has been dominating this week, posting gains against most majors once again. The EURUSD pair fell to 1.4706, a level it hasn’t reached in two weeks.
Risk aversion was rampant yesterday, as the new home sales report came in worse than expected. The report printed that the annualized rate of new home sales was at 402,000, much worse than the expected 443,000. This was due to a 3.6% decline during the month of September and are down 7.8% from a year ago.
Also released yesterday was data on durable goods orders. Orders rose by 1.0%, which was close to expectations of 1.2% gain. Core durable goods (goods excluding transportation) however, rose by 0.9%, higher than forecast of 0.6%. It was the fourth time in six months that durable goods rose.
Dollar Forex Info
Still, the mixed results left traders unsure, letting dollar buying dominate the markets. The skeptic in me asks, could this just be a run of profit taking as we close out the month? Can this dollar buying be sustained? We may get a clue from tonight’s trading session, as some high impact reports are on deck.
Unemployment claims data will be released at 12:30 pm GMT. It is expected that initial jobless claims for last week will be at 522,000. Also, US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will be speaking about system regulation before the Financial Services Committee. Traders and investors will be on the lookout for what he may say – I suggest you do the same!
Lastly, the Advanced GDP report is due at 12:30 pm GMT. It is expected that the US economy grew by 3.2% in the last quarter. If this comes out any worse than expected, could we see the USD continue to strengthen? Take a look at my recent blog post to see my thoughts on this.
Forex News
Pound Pares Losses After Exaggerated Rally
Great Britain poundThe pound reverted its losing trend from last week’s end, specially versus the euro, as traders interpreted the winning streak as inadequate, as U.K. could be starting its first signs of economic recovery.
The pound has been facing extreme volatility as investors remain confused regarding the directions it may take in currency markets, considering the actual conjecture of the British financial scenario. Today, the pound rose specially versus the euro, as even if the U.K. posted negative growth numbers last week, analysts suggest that next quarter will bring back optimism towards the United Kingdom’s economy.
EUR/GBP traded at 0.9109 as of 21:45 GMT from a previous rate of 0.9235 yesterday.
The Brazilian real, ranking among the best performers in currency markets this year with the Australian and New Zealand dollar, experienced another day of losses as the government may take further action to halt the current national currency rally.
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The Brazilian real suffered another day of pessimism as speculations suggest that the national central bank could be ready to take further measures, after setting a tax for international capital inflows towards Brazilian equities markets last week, declining attractiveness for the real as fears that a good currency performance may be once synthetically halted by policy makers.
USD/BRL traded at 1.7205 as of 21:25 GMT from an opening rate of 1.7178 today.
If you want to comment on the Brazilian real’s recent action or have any questions regarding this currency, please, feel free to reply below.
The Canadian currency, which even flirted with parity towards its U.S. counterpart, declined once again today reaching the lowest levels since the beginning of the month, as stocks and commodities impacted the loonie’s attractiveness in a negative way.
The loonie is being a victim of its national central bank policies since it stated that a strong currency could stop plans of an economic recovery in the country, influencing traders’ perception towards the Canadian currency as the Bank of Canada may intervene in its currency performance, automatically creating a negative sentiment, which gained force today as such declarations were repeated. A part from BOC comments regarding a strong loonie, financial markets did not provide support for Canada’s currency to grow, considering the nation’s exporter profile that lost attractiveness as stocks and commodities, specially the crude oil, underperformed today.
According to analysts, two factors, which are not related, pushed the Canadian dollar away from parity with its U.S. counterpart, as the greenback gained since its rates could be undervalued, and the sentiment towards the loonie is becoming progressively pessimist, as investors are option for other high-yielding options in countries where a strong currency is being tolerated, like Australia, leaving the loonie in a second plan for most of traders.
USD/CAD traded at 1.0685 as of 21:04 GMT from a previous rate of 1.0518 yesterday. CAD/JPY traded at 86.20 falling from 87.55 yesterday.
If you want to comment on the Canadian dollar’s recent action or have any questions regarding this currency, please, feel free to reply below.
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The dollar had the best performance in more than a month this Monday as speculations suggested that the current rate, mainly versus the euro, would be to low to sustain, making the greenback to erase much of the losses it posted last week versus the European common currency.
The U.S. dollar gained versus several major currencies which touched record highs due to increased risk appetite that has been affecting the dollar’s attractiveness in foreign-exchange markets during the past few months, as the world economy finally showed signs of improvements. Currencies like the Australian dollar and its New Zealand counterpart, posted the biggest losses versus the greenback as investors understood that current levels for these currencies would not reflect their trends versus the U.S. dollar, as the North American currency is also improving systematically, even if to a lesser extent than currencies from commodity exporting nations. The South Korean won, even if being an emergent market currency, extended gains as its economy grew sharply in the last quarter, according to a report.
According to analysts, the situation for the greenback is rather different than when it touched $1.60 versus the euro last year, and traders are questioning themselves about fundamental factors behind the current rates for the greenback, helping the North American currency to regain space in currency markets, as the euro could be overpriced.
EUR/USD traded at 1.4871 as of 20:38 GMT from a previous rate of 1.5013 yesterday. AUD/USD traded at 0.9155 from 0.9256.
If you want to comment on the U.S. dollar’s recent action or have any questions regarding this currency, please, feel free to reply below.
Forex:
Form 10-K: A Breakdown
Form 10-K has many different sections, called items, which are broken up into parts. Part I focuses on a description of the company and business. This section provides typically static information that is useful for any investor who requires a general understanding of the industry and company. It has various sections including business, risk factors and legal proceedings. Investors should review this section, even if they are familiar with the company or business, paying special attention to any changes in the language, particularly those related to risk factors and legal proceedings. The company also will typically provide an update to the competitiveness of the industry, including business trends and any other pertinent information that may affect market share and the company's ability to reach its goals. For example, new laws or regulations passed by the federal government that may impact the company's ability to operate the business would be included.
Part II focuses on the company's financial results of the operations. This includes the very important management discussion and analysis (MD&A). The MD&A informs the investor of management's explanation of financial results and the factors that impacted the past year. A summary of financial performance, discussion of acquisitions or divestitures and a comparative analysis of the current reporting year to the previous year and the previous year to two years earlier are listed here.
Part III focuses on corporate governance issues like executive compensation. Part IV contains exhibits, including the actual financial statements.
Where to Begin
Form 10-K can be found along with other SEC required forms and investor information on company websites, generally under an "investor" heading. In addition, the SEC publishes these documents on the Edgar website.
The best place for investors who are unfamiliar with a company or industry to start is at the beginning of the document, Part I, Item 1: Business. An industry overview is provided to give the investor a picture of the competitive landscape, the opportunities and the threats from a risk standpoint. Company-specific qualitative information is also discussed, including legal proceedings specific to the company as well as to the industry. Generally, a competitive analysis is also provided; typically the names of all competitors are discussed. Investors can compare the wording of the current 10-K to the wording of the previous 10-K, zoning in on any variations in tone to see if slight changes have occurred that may affect the future operating environment.
Once general knowledge of the industry and company is obtained, more company-specific information can be ascertained in Part II, the MD&A section. Company fundamentals, prospects for new businesses or products and risks as well as a comparison to the previous two years' financial outcomes are provided. In addition, business segment information is disclosed and discussed in this section. Often companies with either multinational operations or multi-segment businesses separate the operational results from the consolidated results so investors can analyze the growth drivers for the company. Reviewing results on a consolidated basis is useful, but understanding what drives the performance for the company via segment analysis augments an investor's ability to determine whether the investment could be fruitful in the future.
What's in the Numbers?
Form 10-K includes the annual financial statements - the balance sheet, income statement (statement of earnings), statement of retained earnings and statement of cash flows - for the current reporting year and up to the previous five years. This is a good opportunity to compare annual financial performance on a year-over-year basis. Often investors use a percent of revenue method to analyze the numbers. In addition, investors like to look at certain financial ratios to determine whether financial performance is improving or declining. The comparison across multiple years makes this information very beneficial. (Want to learn more about financial statements? Take a look at our Financial Statements Tutorial.)
Other 10-K Features
Form 10-K also includes the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Sarbanes-Oxley regulation - the acknowledgment of management that they certify the results contained in the report. The auditors also provide an opinion based on their audit. Many investors pass over these exhibits, but they are an important outcome from legislation after several instances of fraud resulted in shareholder loss.
On the first page, the number of shares outstanding is listed as of the published date of the report. Investors will notice that this share count differs from the numbers used to calculate the earnings per share on the statement of earnings. The number of shares outstanding used in the statement of earnings is the average shares outstanding during the period, not the ending value.
Amendments
Form 10-K/A is compiled and filed when the company makes an amendment to the Form 10-K after it has been published. It is not an uncommon occurrence to file form 10-K/A. Investors should review these amendments to ensure that they do not materially change the investment thesis.
Conclusion
Form 10-K provides a comprehensive review of the industry and company, which should help investors form an investment thesis. Although it is an extremely lengthy document, investors will gain a valuable perspective by reviewing the information contained therein. Not only should new investors who are trying to understand a business examine the document, but current investors already familiar with the business should also review it to analyze any changes to the information reflecting changes in the business and operating environment; these may affect a company's ability to operate and grow.
